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The top UFC betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC 311 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.

UFC 311 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.

UFC 310 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.
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Knocked out by Jailton Almeida
Spivac lost to Jailton Almeida via TKO (punches) at 4:53 of Round 1 at UFC 311 on Saturday in Los Angeles.
ANALYSIS
Fresh off a very strong performance in his first-round main event submission win over Marcin Tybura last August, Spivac was right back to his inconsistent ways here. He somehow managed to get knocked out in the opening frame despite landing a takedown and a reversal in Round 1. Spivac had two chances to dominant from top position and couldn't take advantage of either. Almeida eventually worked his way back to his feet and clipped Spivac with one huge blow which was the beginning of the end. Somehow still just 29 years of age for another week, Spivac is nothing but roster depth for a company which holds an event most every Saturday.
Fresh off a very strong performance in his first-round main event submission win over Marcin Tybura last August, Spivac was right back to his inconsistent ways here. He somehow managed to get knocked out in the opening frame despite landing a takedown and a reversal in Round 1. Spivac had two chances to dominant from top position and couldn't take advantage of either. Almeida eventually worked his way back to his feet and clipped Spivac with one huge blow which was the beginning of the end. Somehow still just 29 years of age for another week, Spivac is nothing but roster depth for a company which holds an event most every Saturday.
Set to face Almeida
Spivac will face Jailton Almeida in a heavyweight bout at UFC 311 on Jan. 18, 2025, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Spivac defeated Marcin Tybura in August this year in the main event of UFC Vegas 95, and he continues to perform at a high level since he's gone 7-2 over his last nine bouts. Facing Almeida won't be easy, however, as he'll take on an opponent who's also on an excellent run of form with a 7-1 record over his last eight starts.
Spivac defeated Marcin Tybura in August this year in the main event of UFC Vegas 95, and he continues to perform at a high level since he's gone 7-2 over his last nine bouts. Facing Almeida won't be easy, however, as he'll take on an opponent who's also on an excellent run of form with a 7-1 record over his last eight starts.
Gets revenge on Marcin Tybura
Spivac defeated Marcin Tybura via submission (armbar) at 1:44 of Round 1 at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
Spivac dropped a unanimous decision to Tybura when the two first fought back in February 2020. He got his revenge on this evening in a major way. Serghei landed an immediate takedown, but he quickly found himself planted on his back. Seemingly at a massive disadvantage, Spivac just rotated his hips, and with Tybura unable to adjust, grabbed ahold of his arm and quickly earned the stoppage. It was a slick move, but one that should never happen at this level given the dominant position Tybura found himself in. Most of the wins have come against lower-level competition, but Spivac is now 7-2 in his last nine bouts dating back to July 2020. The two defeats over that span came against Ciryl Gane and Tom Aspinall. He'll get another ranked fighter his next time out, but in the meantime, Spivac will walk away with one of three $50,000 Performance of the Night bonuses awarded on the evening.
Spivac dropped a unanimous decision to Tybura when the two first fought back in February 2020. He got his revenge on this evening in a major way. Serghei landed an immediate takedown, but he quickly found himself planted on his back. Seemingly at a massive disadvantage, Spivac just rotated his hips, and with Tybura unable to adjust, grabbed ahold of his arm and quickly earned the stoppage. It was a slick move, but one that should never happen at this level given the dominant position Tybura found himself in. Most of the wins have come against lower-level competition, but Spivac is now 7-2 in his last nine bouts dating back to July 2020. The two defeats over that span came against Ciryl Gane and Tom Aspinall. He'll get another ranked fighter his next time out, but in the meantime, Spivac will walk away with one of three $50,000 Performance of the Night bonuses awarded on the evening.
Will face Tybura as main event
Spivac will face Marcin Tybura as the main event match at UFC Vegas 95 on Aug. 10, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Spivac will fight for the first time since September 2023, when he was absolutely destroyed by Ciryl Gane during a Paris bout. The "Polar Bear" owns a 16-4-0 MMA record in his career, but all four of his losses have come at the UFC level, where he's gone a pedestrian 7-4 since making his debut in 2019.
Spivac will fight for the first time since September 2023, when he was absolutely destroyed by Ciryl Gane during a Paris bout. The "Polar Bear" owns a 16-4-0 MMA record in his career, but all four of his losses have come at the UFC level, where he's gone a pedestrian 7-4 since making his debut in 2019.
No-shows Paris main event
Spivac lost to Ciryl Gane via TKO (punches) at 3:44 of Round 2 at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Paris.
ANALYSIS
Outside of an immediate stoppage defeat, it's nearly impossible to envision a scenario in which Spivac could have looked worse. He seemingly had a real chance to win this fight if he was able to drag Gane to the mat, but Spivac attempted just one takedown the entire fight, and even that was of the token variety. Instead, he was content exchanging strikes with Gane . He was predictably and quickly overwhelmed in the process. It was all very strange. Spivac entered having won six of seven, but the five victories other than his recent submission of Derrick Lewis all came against lower-end competition (Augusto Sakai, Greg Hardy, Aleksei Oleinik, Jared Vanderaa, Carlos Felipe). Although just 28 years old, this may have been Spivac's last real chance to make a run at heavyweight.
Outside of an immediate stoppage defeat, it's nearly impossible to envision a scenario in which Spivac could have looked worse. He seemingly had a real chance to win this fight if he was able to drag Gane to the mat, but Spivac attempted just one takedown the entire fight, and even that was of the token variety. Instead, he was content exchanging strikes with Gane . He was predictably and quickly overwhelmed in the process. It was all very strange. Spivac entered having won six of seven, but the five victories other than his recent submission of Derrick Lewis all came against lower-end competition (Augusto Sakai, Greg Hardy, Aleksei Oleinik, Jared Vanderaa, Carlos Felipe). Although just 28 years old, this may have been Spivac's last real chance to make a run at heavyweight.